The South of Fifth Condo Market Report 2019

The South of Fifth Condo Market Report 2019 – The Last 6 Months (May till October 2019)

David Siddons and our South of Fifth condo expert and resident Stefania Cambarau spent the week analyzing the South of Fifth condo market to provide our readers with a clear overview of what has happened in the last 6 months, what trends we are seeing and what we expect from this market in the months to come.

Observations in the South of Fifth Condo Market below $2M

The South of Fifth Condo Market Report 2019
  • 229 Active Listings
  • 86 Sales
  • 14.3 Sales per month
  • 16 Months of inventory

The South of Fifth condo market recorded 86 sales within this price range while there are currently (as per Oct 1, 2019) 229 listings. This leads to 16 months of inventory, which is not a bad number at all. South of Fifth is performing better than the rest of the Beach. This is mainly because of the desirability of the location, close to the elementary school (one must live in the perimeter to be accepted by the a rated public school), because of the more neighborhood lifestyle and the access to many stores and restaurants in walking distance.

The properties with the longest days on the market are generally the units in the more dated (pre-2000) condo buildings. The older buildings see a lot of product that stays on the market for 300+ days. Condos that can be rented for a short term or are income producing are selling very well and for a high amount per SF. In recent years we saw top dollar being paid for very well done units that were destined for the short term rental market. With the recent outlawing of platforms like AirBnB, we see that these prices per SF have decreased as the short term rental opportunities are now limited. The only buildings that keep on selling for a high price per SF (up to $1,000 per FS) are those buildings that allow short term rentals such as the yacht club or newer buildings such as Murano Grande, Murano at Portofino, Continuum or Icon.

Units in older building get less and less desirable, either because the buildings are not correctly maintained or managed or because a very costly special assessments is coming up. Newer buildings still have high HOA fees, but are more desired by renters as well and therefore make more sense as an investment.

Please be aware that it is not untypical to see 10% reductions from asking to sale price and in many cases when we look at properties being relisted we are seeing 25% discounts off original ask price.

The rental market saw 199 units being rented. Compared to 86 Sales in the same period this is definitely a rental based market.

What will the future bring?

This market has adjusted its price already and is much more balanced than before. Therefore we will see even more of a dynamic market in 2020, with more sales. The favorable interest rates are also a great push for this market.

Working Example 

90 Alton Rd #2802:  Sold for $950K (asked $999k). Went pending in 20 days.
The Yacht Club recorded 12 sales in the last 6 months while 23 units are currently for sale with 11 months of current inventory. Bayview units sold between $850 per sqft and $1,000 per sqft.

Observations in the South of Fifth Condo Market for the $2M- $6M Market

The South of Fifth Condo Market Report 2019
  •  98 Active listings
  • 16 Sales
  • 2.66 Sales per month
  • 37 Months of inventory
More than 50% of the current listings has been on the market for over 280 days. About 25% has even been on the market for over 600 days and 50% of these listings is priced at $1,500 per SF or more.
So the market is definitely back end heavy; i.e units are sitting a long time on the market. As we are dealing with a lot of inventory still, there is a lot of competition and merely very well finished condos or very well priced condos are being sold.
 
Over 50% of the sold units were sold at Continuum on South Beach. All sales that have happened, were recorded in the relatively newer buildings, built post 2000. Only two sales were traded at a price of $2,000+ per SF, both were at Continuum.
Continuum is definitely leading the sales. Buyers who are willing to pay for very high maintenance fees also want to have an elevated level of service and quality of the amenities, and Continuum is not second to any other building when it comes to amenities and services.
 
We also saw some big reductions from original asking prices in this price range. Many listings entered the market as early as 2018 and saw massive discounts before being sold. There has been a big adjustment in the prices due to the high level of inventory.
This is the typical example of the snowball effect, when you own a unit that is just like 50 other ones in a building.
The previous sales set the new market price and anybody that sells afterwards need to adjust accordingly.

112 rented to 16 sales. Still a big rental market, although many owners decide to sell their unit in order not to loose more value.

What will the future bring?

We will see way more leases in the next 4 to 6 moths as the season is approaching. Many new units will hit the market for sale as well; something that happens a lot during the high season. This year we will see very competitive listing prices as the fresh inventory will add up to the existing one.

Working Examples

 1 Collins #306.  This raw unit was bought from the developer during the peak years. This never-lived in unit traded at a 34% discount. Listed for $5,450,000 and  sold for $3,537,000.  
 
50 pointe 2802 sold at $5,630,000, a 22.3% reduction from its original asking price of $7,250,000
 
321 ocean unit 401 was sold for $4,290,000, a 22.3% reduction from its  $5.520,900 asking price
 

Observations in the South of Fifth Condo Market for the $6M+ Market

The South of Fifth Condo Market Report 2019
  • 34 Active listings
  • 7 Sales
  • 1.16 Sales per Month
  • 29 Months of Inventory

This market is fairing better than the mid-range market of $2M- $6M and the last 6 months this market performed much better than the 6 months prior where we had only 3 sales. This is a market that is less affected by economic change. The ultra-luxury market is now seeing very high-end products move again at a greater velocity than last year. This is due to the many price corrections and heavily discounted sales. I think this is also seen in other markets; High-end sales are moving better due to realized discounts of 20% or more.The over-confidence is gone and we are back to true market values. We do notice in this market that people are shopping for very well finished product or combined units with high-end details and those buyers are willing to pay top dollar for these kind of units.

The most expensive listing is listed at $19M asking price while the most expensive sales was $13M, again at Continuum. Just like in the mid range, almost 50% of sales are recorded at Continuum. The highest sales price per SF was just below $3,000 per SF, which was unit 3303 at Continuum that sold for a 20% discount.

33% of Product has been sitting on the market for over 1 year.

Only 3 rentals in this price bracket. The demand is very high for the high-end rentals, but the offer is almost absent. This happens mainly in the high season from November through April.

What will the future bring?

The market will stay strong. More inventory will be listed for sale, but buyers are coming strong in 2020

Working Example 

1000 S Pointe unit 3501 sold at $9.3M while 6 floors below (same SF) sold for $4M less. Well-finished product moves much much better, but they must be very unique with unparalleled views.

Please Contact the David Siddons Group for more information about the South of Fifth Condo Market

David Siddons | 305.508.0899 | [email protected]
Stefania Cambarau | 305.965.1232 | [email protected]

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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