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The Brickell Condo Market in 2020 | Q2 and Q3
A Deep Dive into the Brickell Condo Market in 2020
You might have read our Miami Condo Market report as part of our Q2 and Q3 Miami Real Estate report in which we discuss the high amount of inventory that is sitting in the market and how Covid-19 has accelerated the trends that were already in place. In this blog, we focus solely on the Brickell condo market in 2020, which we analyze with the help of our Condo Geeks Analytics tool.
Condo Geeks is a brand new and sophisticated tool, which is essentially a Bloomberg terminal for real estate. The tool empowers you to analyze entire neighborhoods, individual condos or a selection of condos. It provides users with the ability to look at the performance of a neighborhood / condo over time (amount of sales, prices per SF, discounts given and days on market) or to compare neighborhoods / condos to one another. It is essentially the best tool for consumers to see whether a market is going up, down or remains static and to select the best performing condo.
After 410 days on the market, unit 3701 at Echo Brickell sold for $1,550,000 after being originally listed for $3M. The seller paid $2,782,100 in 2017
Brickell – Macro Analysis – Numbers driving the market & Q2 vs Q3 Comparison

Brickell – Macro Analysis – No. of Closed Sales Trend (2019 & 2020)

Transactions across the Brickell Condo market have been in decline since 2017, but the last 18 months show a clearer drop. Q2 of 2020 was the beginning of Covid and universally this has been the greatest period of both ‘shutdown’ and uncertainty. Q3 Figures recovered, although this is definitely not a sign of a recovering Brickell economy, but more an accumulation of missed transactions in Q2.
It’s important to recognize where the majority of transactions have occurred. The table below shows where those transactions took place.
Conclusions: Truly the most important piece of information to partake from this page is that the number of sales per Quarter is a small amount relative to the enormous amount of inventory (1800 listings exist across the Brickell Market currently).
- FOR BUYERS: This will allow for significant negotiations and definitive opportunity to buy at a discount.
- FOR SELLERS: Be realistic, with such huge inventory any seller not willing to come in line with the true market figures can expect to have to hold their unit for several years considering the inventory levels.
Brickell – Building Level Analysis – Number of Closed Sales & Average Close Price Per SF in Quarter 3

In Q3-2020, Echo Brickell outperformed the rest of the buildings in the area. Relatively newer buildings like Brickell Flatiron, Brickell House, Reach, Rise and the Bond are selling at over $450 per foot, but they are still selling at a discount compared to their pre-construction prices. We cannot conclude that any one building is doing particularly well and those that are moving are coming in at trades well below what the developer previously sold them for. Echo for example was previously trading from the developer over $1,100 per SF and Flatiron at $800 per SF. When looking at the price per SF, it is important to appreciate that analysis of this nature is a ‘line by line’ conversation.
IF YOU WANT TO DRILL DEEPER INTO THE CONDO MARKET THEN CALL ME.
WE CAN CONDUCT A ZOOM CHAT TO SHOW YOU OUR CONDO GEEK SCREENS AND YOU CAN SEE
THE PERFORMANCE OF ANY ONE CONDO OVER ITS ENTIRE ECONOMIC LIFE.
Brickell – Macro Analysis – Closed Price by Sq Ft (2019 & 2020)

Unsurprising to see the sudden drop in price per soft in Q2 to them recover in Q3. Q2 was what we refer to as a ‘self induced economic coma’, when everything was totally shutdown. Regardless, the current average price per SF of $415 for Brickell in 2020 is still by far the cheapest compared to other neighborhoods like South Beach or neighboring Coconut Grove, which average double what Brickell currently runs at.
The question we now have is whether we will see further drops. In many buildings asking prices are still well above the average price per SF sold. This number is much more of a guide and the discussion of value remains not just ‘building by building’ but more of a ‘line by line’. Please look at the specific building numbers to get a sense, or better yet call me and we can share our live analytics screens through zoom!
Brickell Condo Market Report- Macro Analysis – Close Price Per Ft (2006-2020)

The Brickell condo market was at its peak during the years of 2006 and 2007; followed by a recession when prices went down by almost 50% in 2008-2011. Since 2012, the market recovered and was at its peak in 2015; followed by another cycle of reduction in prices. Today we blend out at $415 per SF although there are a number of buildings that trade much higher. It is helpful to match this data with the months of inventory as that determines if the market will continue to fall further or will either a) stabilize or b) start to rise again. Given that we currently track the bottom of the condo market to somewhere around 2012-2013 figures, it suggests we could see further drops in price per SF. This is supported by the high levels of inventory. As always remember that we say condo analysis is not a ‘neighborhood by neighborhood’ process or even a ‘building by building’ process. It is far more granular and becomes a ‘line by line’ conversation.
Brickell Condo Market Report- Macro Analysis – No. of Closed Sales Trend (2006-2020)

Peak year for number of units sold was 2013; there was a new construction cycle from 2013-2019, which led to increase in units sold. Without a doubt 2020 has been a much slower year for condos due to Covid-19. Covid is as we say an ‘economic accelerator’ of trends and not a creator of them. Brickell tends to be driven by investors and second home owners. This is of course far more of a discretionary purchase.
One thing definitely moving the needle is the strength or lack of the Condo rental market. If lower income tenants do not pay rents then this can have a severe effect on the rental income and thus the market as a whole. We have not seen such low sales since 2009, which does not bear well for future prices as the supply / demand balance shifts with slow sales. As always, it’s important to recognize the buildings and price points that do move, as not all price points and product behave the same.
FAQ
These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions
What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?
HOME BUYERS
Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/
CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/
What are the best areas for relocating families with children
For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/
Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?
New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand. Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects. However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/
Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?
Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/
What are Miami's Safest Areas?
Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)
If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.
The strongest value plays are:
- Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
- Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
- Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
- Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing
The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/
Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?
Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?
No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.
Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?
The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.
How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?
Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?
Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
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