Market Report for Miami Beach Homes for Sale | Q1 & Q2 2020

Market Report for Miami Beach Homes for Sale | Q1 & Q2 2020

Market Report for Miami Beach Homes for Sale | Q1 & Q2 2020

When reviewing the behavior of the market this year compared to last year, we are seeing that the Single-Family Market in Miami Beach is experiencing an increase in demand.  This doesn’t come as a surprise as this is following the general performance of Miami as a whole.

Comparing the closed sales for the first 6 months of 2020 Vs 2019, the increase year over year is above 20%, which represents a strong increase considering the current circumstances and considering the many recent sales that are not reflected in the records yet.  It is very remarkable to see these kind of results in the middle of a pandemic which brings along economic challenges.

In the last 30 days, close to 70 properties have gone into contract in the area, which is a clear indicator of the beginning of a strengthening of the market.  It will take a couple of months for the existing contracts to be recorded as closed sales. This Market Report for Miami Beach Homes for Sale is written with the intent of reading the market and understanding its behavior, we look at the different price points, as well as closed and pending sales for each price range.

What can you buy in Miami Beach with less than $1M 

We saw 35 closed sales in 2020 and an inventory level of 12 months. This price ranges shows 20 pending sales however, which means there are many potential closings in the pipeline, an indication of a strengthening market. Properties closed on average with a 9% discount on their last listing price and 15% on their original listing price. When we look at the individual segments, the lower end market of properties below $1M, are averaging a price per SF of $365.  As a general guideline, when shopping for a home in these price ranges, we have to consider that the lower price point per square foot in the $200’s will most likely be a property in need of major improvements and renovations.  A the range of $400 per SF properties might also call for renovations but in general, it would be a home in move-in conditions most likely without a pool.

An example of a property which recently sold for $373 per SF is 5825 Alton Road. This property stayed 238 days on the market and sold for $850,000 after being originally listed for $1,2M and then reduced to $995,000.

This is an example of a property which recently sold for $379 per SF is 3034 Sheridan avenue. This property stayed 262 days on the market and sold for $925,000 after being originally listed for $1,249,000.

Properties between $1M to $2M.  

The average price per SF is $544 with 48 closed sales in 2020 and 98 currently active listings. As per August 1 there are 20 pending sales which is a sign of a market that is gaining strength. The market is showing a moderate buyers market with 14 months of inventory. Properties closed on average with a 10% discount on their last listing price and 15% on their original listing price.

1312 15th Terrace is an example of a property which recently sold for $478 per SF. This property sold after 478 days on the market for $1,030,000. Its final listing price was $1,225,000 and its original listing price was $1,275,000

2419 N Meridian Ave sold for $588 per SF after being on the market for 656 days. The property sold for $1,485,000. The original listing price was $2,195,000 and the final listing price was $1,650,000

Properties between $2M to $3M

This price range saw 14 closed sales in 2020 with 8 pending sales. The average sold price per SF is $640. The level of inventory is higher here with 36 months. Properties closed on average with a 10% discount on their last listing price and 15% on their original listing price.

4610 Alton Road sold for $664 per SF. The property was listed for $2,490,000 and sold for $2,350,000

4315 N Meridian Ave sold for $691 per SF after being on the market for 460 days. This waterfront home sold for $2,925,000 after being listed for $3,900,000 (originally) and $3,090,000 (last listing price)

Properties between $3M to $5M

The average sales price per SF is $855. Within this price range we see 42 months of inventory, 55 active listings and 9 closed sales in 2020. Till date we count 8 pending sales. This is one of the price ranges with the highest level of inventory and the lowest amount of pending deals.  Properties closed on average with a 12% discount on their last listing price and 20% on their original listing price. As we already forecasted in our 2020 Miami real estate report; Miami Beach homes in the $3M-$5M price range allow for great opportunity.

280 S Coconut Ln on Palm Island sold for $864 per SF (Waterfront home). This property sold for $4.9M while it was originally listed for $7.9M with a final listing price of $6.9M

321 W Rivo Alto Dr on the Venetian Islands was 235 days on the market before it sold for $3,6M ($941 per SF). The home’s last list price was $4M and its original list price was $4.5M.

Miami Beach Homes above $5M

The average sold price per SF is $1,434 with 42 months of inventory and 20 closed sales in 2020.  These properties provided for an average of 12% discount on their last listing price and 19% discount on their original price. There are currently 16 homes under pending contract in this segment. These are mainly waterfront properties located in the most exclusive addresses on North Bay Road and the Islands. Closed sales show a high amount of months of inventory, but the trend of the recent closed sales and pending sales shows a particularly steep acceleration of this market.

4330 N Bay Rd is sold for $9,750,00 or $1,209 per SF. The original listing price was $12,950,000 and the last listing price was $11,995,000.

Miami Beach Real Estate Market Recap

We can see that the lower end of the market up to $2M is relatively active, but when we go over the $2M range the inventory is higher, around the 40 months.  These numbers are based on closed sales for the first 7 months of the year and the available inventory in each price bracket. However we went further and looked at the number of properties that went into contract in the past 45 days. A whopping number 0f 72 properties went under contract. Of the in total 72 properties, 40 are in the $0M -$2M range and an impressive 16 of these are in the $5M+range. This confirms the current accelerated trend of relocations to Miami Beach as a direct result of the pandemic.  High net worth individuals are, now more than ever, making the move to South Florida. For the properties below $2M, the low interest rates provide for an incentive to buyers.

.Many sellers are in a weakened position and in need to get liquidity. They are offloading their real estate assets and as a buyer you are in a stronger position right now. If you are one of those buyers willing to get in and ready to make a deal you might be seeing some opportunities that you would normally never see in this desired area. We see great deals being made and properties are selling with considerable discounts. You have to behave against the market in order to take advantage of this market.

Our advise to sellers is to become aware of the oversupply/large available number of properties for sale and price the properties accordingly. This is very important for houses that need remodeling, as the majority of buyers are not in favor of big remodeling projects.

Our advise for Miami Beach buyers with a budget between $2M and $5M in the short term (next 6 months) is to take advantage of the oversupply before the market stabilizes in the longer term. When it comes to single family, the “wait and see approach” of postponing the purchase might not pay back at this stage.

When you speak about the impact of Covid-19 on the Miami real estate market please remember that there is a big difference between the different Miami sub-markets. Some markets are more elastic and therefore more resilient against economic change. There is a considerable difference between the condo markets (many of which were already suffering) and the single-family homes markets. Additionally the type of neighborhood and price range are essential to know. Miami Beach Homes are clearly among the favorite choices for families relocating from the north east or California.

Contact us for more information

David Siddons | 305.508.0899
Stefania Cambarau | 305.965.1232

David Siddons is a top producing realtor and director of Luxury Sales with Douglas Elliman Real Estate. David is known as a market analyst and he is the author of several of Miami’s most influential real estate reports and forecasts.

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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