Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Report 2022/2023 (Part 3)

Part 3 | What is Happening in the Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market? | Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Economics

In Part 3 we discuss the reasons WHY changes are occurring in the Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market. Typical market reports usually present numbers and charts without the necessary context for the reader to comprehend what the numbers mean and “why” the market is reacting in a certain way. In this section of the report we will review current Economic Influencers and how they are impacting the housing market in Fort Lauderdale. This review will help us forecast how these impacts could play out over time.

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Report 2022 | The Effect of Interest Rates

The shift to a transitional housing market started in May 2022 with the shift in messaging about the hikes to interest rates. It was the aggressive approach by the Federal Reserve that created market uncertainty. In response, the euphoria and quick decision making of this business cycle has transitioned to a more cautious approach to real estate trades.

Transitions are always a certainty but they do not have to mean disaster. Consider the historical interest rates in the chart below. To provide context, the rate quote at the end of July 2022 on a 30-year fixed mortgage is 5.60% with an APR of 5.61%, according to Bankrate.com.

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market 2022/2023| The Market's Economics
Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market 2022/2023| The Market's Economics

Primary home buyers. Interest rates have historically been much higher. Historically rates have averaged 7.77%. Interest rates in recent years were at the lowest levels until 2022. The low interest rates supercharged real estate sales in Fort Lauderdale . Buyer psychology was affected by the low interest rates because house payments were manageable. Buyers were able to stretch their budgets and were more aggressive in offer negotiations. Now that interest rates are rising the cash “flush” Buyer Psychology has switched to a more conservative stance. This does not mean the downfall of the real estate market. This just signals that Buyers’ are returning to a more normal buying psychology. They are more cautious and overbidding for overvalued properties will no longer be acceptable.

Investors are the most sensitive to rising interest rates. They carefully consider the carrying costs of investment purchases. As discussed in Part 2 -The Rental Market, Fort Lauderdale Investor purchases delivered excellent rental ROI (return on investment).

The increased interest rates have not yet impacted the gains from rental income. It is likely though that soon Tenant Psychology will also become more conservative and a shift is anticipated in the lowering of rental rates.

Interest rates into 2023. What is likely to come in the coming 6 months? In a recent article in Forbes, the 30-year, fixed-mortgage rate forecasts of several experts are shared and the opinion is that they will vary from just above 5% to as high as 7% by the end of 2022. To put this information into historical data context, between April 1971 and June 2022, 30-year mortgage rates averaged 7.77 percent. So even with the 30-year FRM above 5%, rates are still relatively affordable.

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market 2022/2023| The Market's Economics

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Report 2022 | The Effect of Inflation

According to a report from Forbes, inflation in the U.S. was 8.6% at the beginning of July 2022. To put this number into context, the long-term average inflation rate in the U.S. is around 3.2% and in 2021 the interest rate averaged 4.70%. In other words, the current year over year increase to inflation is +82%.

The effects of increased inflation are very evident in new construction homes and condos. Increased inflation raises the cost of labor and building materials for new construction. Supply chain issues further exacerbated the increased costs of building materials. We see this reflected in the increased price per square foot valuations of new homes and condos. The chart below shows neighborhood examples of price increases for new construction homes since 2020.

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market 2022/2023| The Market's Economics

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Report 2022 | The Effect of the Stock Market

In 2022, the stock market entered bear market territory. According to an article in Fortune, bear markets historically on average last 16 months. Michael Burry of The Big Short fame figures we are about halfway through this bear market. In a correcting stock market investors experience both positive and negative psychology.

Negative Outcome: The psychology of a hefty portfolio boosts investor confidence but the reverse is true in a down market. A sliding stock market creates a psychology of caution & doubt as portfolio values diminish. Investors respond to a down market in several ways from “stick it out” in hopes of market bounce back to “cut the losses” by selling off stocks. In either scenario investors are much more protective of their assets and how they are utilized.

Positive Outcome: As investors look to recover from stock market losses they might consider selling their secondary properties or downsizing. This would have a welcome effect on the housing market where more inventory is needed. Another option in a down market would be a turn to real estate, which has historically provided a good hedge against inflation. According to an article by Claire Ballentine and Alice Kantor as published in Bloomberg, “Real estate is considered one approach to hedge against inflation, given the asset class usually has little correlation with stocks and bonds. So

naturally, investor interest is soaring — even against the backdrop of a super hot real estate market, a low supply of houses and mortgage rates threatening to creep up.”

See below some recent Record Breaking sales.

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Report 2022 | The Effect of Supply Chain Issues

Buyers are hesitating to purchase land for new home construction due to supply chain issues impacting construction costs and causing delays. Buyers are more inclined to consider new construction projects that are currently underway or fully completed. Also due to supply chain issues, Buyers are shying away from remodeling projects. Supply Chain issues have not only impacted the availability of construction materials but also fittings, fixtures, appliances and furnishings. All of these components are necessary in the construction and remodel process.

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market Report 2022 | The Effect of Mass Migration and Corporate Relocations.

Fort Lauderdale has been the recipient of considerable migration. Migration over the last two years has been driving home prices up and saturating our private social clubs and private schools. As one realtor was quoted: ‘It’s easier to find a home than find a space in school’. The waiting lists are long and this is a frustration for many newcomers to Fort Lauderdale. This is an issue for “private” schools and clubs but many of the best lifestyle features in Fort Lauderdale can still be obtained.

Top Neighborhoods such as Las Olas Isles, Victoria Park, Harbor Beach, Rio Vista and Coral Ridge are assigned to A rated public schools. It’s nice to know you have this option while you wait for a private school slot to open up. Some neighborhoods also come with a private beach club such as Sea Ranch Lakes and the Surf Club at Harbor

Beach. All this plus our year round beautiful weather, boating, beach access, cultural & sporting venues.

Fort Lauderdale continues to focus on improving and adapting the livability of the city to accommodate the expected population growth. Capital expenditures include $1.5 billion in new construction, $23 billion airport expansion, open space parks in the downtown area, improved aquatic center, new marina, Panthers Ice Stadium, DRV Pink Soccer Stadium and expanded cultural venues.

Corporate relocations to Ft Lauderdale: From Forbes: “What once was considered a vacation-only destination, Fort Lauderdale is thriving and poised to continue attracting high-profile businesses, an emerging talent pool and significant investment in infrastructure,” says Jenni Morejon, president of the Fort Lauderdale Downtown Development Authority (DDA).”

Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Market 2022/2023| The Market's Economics

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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