The Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report for Q4 2020 | What to Expect Going into 2021?

Coral Gables Homes for Sale | What to Expect Going into 2021?

Those who read part 3 of our Q2 and Q3 Miami real estate report (The Miami Real Estate Market before and during Covid-19) already know the strength of the Gables market. We expected a strong year, but nothing could have prepared us for the year we actually got! We are receiving daily relocation calls and most of these potential buyers are inquiring about Coral Gables real estate. Inventory has decreased at a rapid pace and we have now reached a point at which we are experiencing a shortage of good-quality homes. We have started to reach out to off-market owners to see if they are willing to sell their home in order to provide our clients with a better selection of Coral Gables homes for sale!

The Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report for Q4 2020 | What to Expect Going into 2021?

Gables Estates and Tahiti Beach are the two preferred gated and waterfront communities with luxury buyers.

Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report | Q3 and Q4 of 2020

Miami is experiencing a very high amount of relocations from the high-tax states. These buyers are mostly focused on the areas of Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne and Miami Beach. Since Coral Gables is home or close to Miami’s best private schools many families opt for a residence near these schools. Furthermore the Gables offers some of Miami’s most desired and exclusive waterfront mansions as well as a good amount of mansions that are located in exclusive gated communities with unobstructed ocean views. Coral Gables is one of Miami’s most desired neighborhoods and this is what we experienced in the Coral Gables Real Estate Market in the last 6 months:

Sales volume is up compared to 2019 (76%), with the luxury market really seeing a surge in sales. In the $5M+ market we recorded 20 sales with 9 sales in the $10M+ range, representing a 200% increase in sales compared to the same period last year. We also see that the average prices per SF have gone up and the discounts on listing prices have slightly decreased. Maybe the most important table here is the one with the months of inventory. The months of inventory provide you with information about the supply and demand relationship or the absorption rate of a market. The months indicated here are the months it will take to sell all available product if no new product were to enter the market. Between 6 and 9 months is generally considered a neutral or balanced market while less than 6 is a sellers market and more than 9 a buyers market. As you can see the Gables’ inventory decreased considerably and the current inventory levels show a very bullish market. Some real estate studies mention that in the luxury market only 18+ months indicate a buyers market and indeed, 17 months of inventory for a $10M+ market is really low for Miami standards.

The Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report for Q4 2020 | What to Expect Going into 2021?
The Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report for Q4 2020 | What to Expect Going into 2021?
The Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report for Q4 2020 | What to Expect Going into 2021?
The Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report for Q4 2020 | What to Expect Going into 2021?

The Coral Gables Real Estate Market in 2021

As we are approaching 2021 we have not yet experienced a slowdown in the demand for Coral Gables homes for sale. More and more tax migrants are flocking into Miami mostly from NYC, New Jersey, Chicago and San Francisco. As mentioned before we receive daily calls for Coral Gables real estate and we do not foresee a decline in the demand. This is not just a temporary trend that fades away overnight. We believe this migration will continue to happen, because we do not just see individual families making the move. These days more and more prominent companies are moving to Miami and as they make the move so does their management team with their families. Many companies have already moved here and this month we have heard of  prominent tech investors that are moving to Miami  as well as several Wallstreet names like Goldman Sachs, Elliott Management Corp and Citadel. Families are moving to Miami for its great lifestyle and favorable tax structure and are positively surprised by its development of high-end office space and superb private schools. With the current hype around moving to Miami as well as word-of-mouth marketing from families that already made the move, we expect 2021 to be equally bullish.

Coral Gables Real Estate Market Report: Which Coral Gables Homes sold in 2020?

Please find below several homes that closed in the last year to get a better glimpse of what is selling!

6235 Maynada St sold for $1,365,000 or $478 per SF. The 4 bedroom, 2,724 SF property was listed for $1,375,000

6345 Riviera Drive sold for $2.6M ($587 per SF). This 5 bedroom was listed for $2,850,000

1290 Mariola Ct sold for $3,220,000. It offers 4,963 SF and is a brand new construction from 2020

This property located on 5201 Oak Ln in the gated community of Snapper Creek Lakes sold for $5M. The 6 bedroom home was listed for $5,495,000

6851 Sunrise Place located in the gated community of Sunrise Harbour sold for $5,950,000 or $990 per SF

This property in the guard gated community of Gables Estates sold for $20M, $1,853 per SF.

David Siddons is a top producing realtor and Director of Luxury Sales at Douglas Elliman. He is known as a market analyst and he is the author of several of Miami’s most influential real estate reports and forecasts

David Siddons | 305.508.0899 | [email protected]

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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