The 90-Day Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021 | Miami Beach Condos and Homes

Our First 90-Day Miami Beach Luxury Real Estate Report Q3 2021

The $3M-$5M |  $5M – $10M | $10M+ Market

Welcome to our first 90-day Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021. Due to the dynamic of the Miami Beach real estate market we have decided to introduce 90-Day real estate updates. Stefania Cambarau of the David Siddons Group will provide you with a complete overview of the market in less than 10 minutes. Her reports will give you the most important market data (months of inventory, number of active listings, sales and pending deals, key sales in the area and average sales prices per SF)  in combination with our signature social narrative.

This report compares the last 90 days (essentially quarter 3 of 2021 to the same periods of time in 2019 and 2020).

The 90-Day Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021 for the Miami Beach Condo Market

Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021

One of the Most Significant Miami Beach Condo Sales

Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021
Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021

The 90-Day Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021 for the Miami Beach Single Family Home Market

The $3M-$5M market only recorded 2 waterfront sales per quarter and due to these limited data sets we decided not to show the data for waterfront homes in this price.  The $5M+ market in 2019 and 2020 did not have an dry lot sales while the $5M-$10M showed no less than 8 dry lot homes in 2021. This says a lot about the demand for property in the Miami Beach luxury market. While before the $5M+ range was reserved for waterfront homes, these days we also see a high amount of dry lot homes trade in this price range. The dry lot home traded on average for $1,260 per SF ranging from $874 to $1,717 per SF.

Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021

One of the Most Significant Miami Beach Single-Family Home Sales

Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021
Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021
Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021

Who is Buying in Miami Beach?

Just like in the rest of Miami, buyers of Miami Beach real estate are mostly coming from the high-tax states. Buyers come from NYC, NJ, Chicago, Boston, San Francisco and LA. They are all coming for the tax advantages, favorable business climate and a better lifestyle. Now the US is open for international travelers again we expect European, Canadian and Brazilian buyers to start coming in as well.

What is Happening to the Inventory?

The inventory of single-family homes started to decrease rapidly in 2020. The demand for luxury homes was so high, many buyers started looking at new (waterfront) areas that previously were not that desired. We started seeing many off-market deals in which sellers of off-market homes received a “Make-me-move-offer”. Since 2021, the condo market is also seeing very low levels of inventory. The inventory shrank by 30%-40% over the last few months while these are historically the slowest months of the year. The high season is still to come in the winter months, which is normally Miami Beach’s peak season.

The Peak of the Miami Beach Condo Market is nearing!

The Miami Beach luxury condo market is nearing the peak prices seen in the 2015 Miami condo market. Inventory is down to 5 or 6 months and we are seeing record sales prices. As cherry on the cake, the United States will reopen in November to air travelers from 33 countries including the UK, Brazil and most of Europe who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19.  We have 5 buyers from the UK who have been following the market for over a year now and are eager to come into town to buy a property. We for sure won’t be the only ones in town who have UK or other European buyers lined up to fly in and invest. This means the next wave of buyer frenzy is coming just in time for what is normally known as Miami Beach high season! Another indicator of this strong Miami Beach market is the rental market. The market is currently seeing overheated rates that are 40%+ higher than in previous years. Properties that rented last year for $8K per month are now renting for $20K. The market returns are very high right now.

Miami Beach Real Estate Report Q3 2021

Data taken from CondoGeeks. Condo Geeks is a brand new and sophisticated tool, which is essentially a Bloomberg terminal for real estate. The tool empowers you to analyze entire neighborhoods, individual condos or a selection of condos. It provides users with the ability to look at the performance of a neighborhood / condo over time (amount of sales, prices per SF, discounts given and days on market) or to compare neighborhoods / condos to one another. It is essentially the best tool for consumers to see what a market is doing.

How much more is my Miami Beach condo unit going to be worth in the Months to Come?

Owners of Miami Beach condos are sitting on gold and they know it. Most of the condo owners do not want to sell and are extremely bullish on the current real estate market. Those who bought condos for $3M nearly 2 years ago are now getting offered $5M. The rental market is equally hot. We have seen properties that used to rent for $8K a month now rent for $20K per month. The extreme numbers make people hesitate to sell. What if it gets even better? The reality is that we expect this up coming high season to become the peak of the Miami Beach condo market. The numbers are high and with the next big wave of buyers (the Europeans, Brits and Latin Americans) we will see the prices reach its absolute top before the market will start to level again.

Historically the condo market has been more cyclical or volatile than the single-family home market. Prices increase fast, but they will decrease equally fast. An ideal market for some that like to take big risks with the chances of winning big, but not a market for everyone. When the economy is up everyone wants a second home or an investment condo, but when the first signs of recession start this is the first assets they get rid off. The single-family home markets are more stable as they are normally used by end-users and are therefore more of a necessity and less of a discretionary purchase. For this reason we would normally advice our clients to also take single-family homes into consideration as it is a better market in the long run.

Two Changes to Consider when Owning Miami Beach Real Estate

  1. Biden wants to get rid of the 1033 Exchange which allows you to move property while post-phoning capital gains till a later moment.
  2. Biden wants to change the capital gains from 20% to 40%

So lets say someone bought at Continuum in South Beach a $3M condo in 2018 and wants to sell that now for $5M, which is very well possible in this market. Over this $2M dollar profit the seller used to pay $400K in taxes and this same seller will now, under this new law, have to pay $800K+ in property gain taxes. Some sellers told me they will to sell until next year as they think in one year they will get more for their unit. Yes, the market will go up, but will it offset the increase in capital gains? Besides this, the new policy will have a cascading effect and once it becomes a new law people will want to dump their investment product. More people will be looking to sell and avoid increased taxes over their capital gains. You want to sell when people are buying, at the absolute peak, not when most are looking to sell.

How much longer will the Miami Beach Single-Family Home market be sustainable?

This market has always been a strong market. Demand has always been high, but since 2020 the supply/demand curve is experiencing extremes, which benefits the sellers.  Do we expect this market to drop? No, you might expect it to level, but we doubt it will drop. Demand is up, supply is extremely limited. Miami is growing sustainably and businesses are moving into our city bringing along their C-suite. We have experienced that NOT many of them are moving back. The city is doing everything to cater to businesses and HNWI and this will benefit the Miami Beach home market.  This is to say that the market won’t go down in many cases, but outlier properties that suddenly sell at 50% more than they sold 2 years ago (so called “Make-me-move” offers) will become less likely. With other words, we will see less anomalies in property prices as exceptions to the rule will cease to exist. These anomalies are caused by hysteria and this will stabilize soon.  If you want to know more about how sustainable this market is we invite you to read the below article, which dives further into this topic and discusses what could potentially change supply or demand in this market.

Whether you are a seller or buyer of Miami Beach real estate please give us a call today. Our motto is to help our clients make better decisions and we will help you to!

David Siddons | +1 (305) 508.0899 | [email protected]
Stefania Cambarau | +1 (305) 965.1232 | [email protected]

David Siddons is a top producing Miami realtor with Douglas Elliman. David is known as a market analyst and he is the author of several of Miami’s most influential real estate reports and forecasts. Our real estate blog luxlifemiamiblog.com was recently voted as “Miami’s Best Agent Website” by the South Florida Agent Magazine. 
Stefania Cambarau is the group’s Miami Beach expert who also lives on the beach. Stefania brokered one of the highest sales prices per SF in history for a Miami condo.

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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