Market Report for South of Fifth Condos for Sale | Q1 & Q2 2020

The South of Fifth Condo Market Update for Q1 & Q2 2020

We are writing this blog as a quarterly condo market update for South of Fifth. We will update you on the market’s performance as well as on current trends. Finally we will tell you what we expect to happen in the months to come and where we expect to see opportunities for great deals.

$500K to $2M

Closed sales data are taken over the last 3 months from our Condo Geeks Analytics Tool

The South of Fifth Market has softened in the last few years. This year we are seeing less sales than in previous years and the price levels remained equal to those in 2018 and 2019.  In the last 6 months we saw 39 units being sold while only 13 of these sales happened in the last 3 months! The months of inventory are currently at 31, meaning it will take 31 months (almost 3 years) to absorb all units if the market remains like it is today and no new units will enter the market. Covid-19 has definitely had an impact on this market, potential buyers weren’t able to travel to Miami or to enter these buildings and therefore we have seen very limited sales. Sales has been very slow while at the same time some sellers are in desperate need for cash and therefore looking to sell. We expect inventory to rise further as more sellers might have to offload their real estate assets and the high season is only starting in November.  This is a great market for buyers ready to pull the trigger. You can use our data in the slideshow above to see which condos are best for your budget, which condos are selling at the highest discounts (Continuum, Murano, 321 Ocean and Icon) and which units have been on the market for the longest period of time.

Please call us at 305.508.0899 to really deep dive into the different condos or in case you have your eyes set on a specific South of Fifth condo for sale and would like to know its true market value.

Unit 505 at the South Tower was the best priced 2 bedroom sale in 2020. This property sold for $1.7M or $910 per SF. It was listed for $1,985,000  (14% discount). It stayed on the market just 22 days before being sold in January (Pre-covid)

$2M to $5M

Closed sales data are taken over the last 3 months from our Condo Geeks Analytics Tool

We see the same trend here as in the other price ranges. The market has slowed down and price levels have stagnated. We are currently seeing 87 units on the market while 15 units sold in the last 6 months and 6 of these sold in the last 3 months. To put this into perspective; the market’s inventory increased from 35 to 43 months in the last 90 days. This means that under current market conditions it will take almost 4 years or 43 months to absorb all the current inventory. In other words the supply/demand curve is unbalanced and is currently favoring buyers, as there is more supply than demand.

The fact that there were no showings allowed for the last 2 months and buyers were not in town or hesitant to travel will undoubtedly have something to do with that. Although inventory is already high we do expect more product to enter the market in the months to come before the high season starts in November. With the global pandemic and economic decline we expect some owners to offload their units. Continuum units often being 2nd, 3rd or 4th homes and the stock market being bearish, offloading real estate might be the only way for some owners to get liquidity. Buyers can make really good deals this year and whomever ready to make a move can take advantage of that. In the beginning of 2020 we already saw declining prices and we can only expect this buyers market to grow stronger with additional inventory entering the market.

Condos like 321 Ocean, Portofino and Icon are seeing the highest levels of discounts on sales prices and in many condos the units stay on the market for more than half a year before being sold. Our Condo Geeks tool which we used for the graphs above show you which condos stay longest on the market, which offer the highest discounts and which one are offering the best prices!

The top sale in the last 90 days was at Continuum on South Beach (South Tower) where unit 1604 (2 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms and 2,292 SF) sold at $4,850,000 or $2,100 per SF.
This is a high price considering that the unit has developer finishes. The 04 line offers a beautiful wrap around terrace and has sold for a premium historically.

This unit at Icon on South Beach represented the best deal at $778 per SF.

$5M+

Closed sales data are taken over the last 12 months from our Condo Geeks Analytics Tool

The ultra-luxury market of South of Fifth is seeing a decline in the number of sales. While there were 6 sales in the last 12 months, there was only 1 sale in 2020. Also we can see that the sales price of that unit is below the average sales price of previous years. There are currently 44 units on the market with only 1 sale in the last 6 months. The market is unbalanced and there is much more supply than the market can absorb. Like mentioned before Covid-19 had an impact on this market. On the demand site, buyers were hesitant to fly into Miami or to pull the trigger. On the supply site we saw that many units hit the market during the pandemic as these condos are often second, third or fourth homes that must be taken off the books in a time like this. We expect the inventory to increase further in the months to come. This is a great market for vulture deals. Not every seller will appreciate low offers, but some might be happy to sell at a great discount.

In the last months Continuum South set the record for this price range as well with unit 3303 that sold at $8.4 M or $2,500 per SF

Unit 300 at 321 Ocean Dr is the only sale that happened in the $5M+ price range. This unit sold for$5,750,000 after being listed for $6.2M

David’s Comments and Take-Aways

The South of Fifth condo market is in a holding pattern right now. We didn’t see many sales happen in the $2M+ range (just 6 sales were recorded in last 90 days). This is really because of the high infection rates we are experiencing in Miami and people aren’t confident (or aren’t allowed even) to enter any condo building. There are inquiries for South of Fifth condos, but mostly from buyers that expect a deal. Many sellers are in a weakened position and in need to get liquidity. They are offloading their real estate assets and as a buyer you are in a stronger position right now. If you are one of those buyers willing to get in and ready to make a deal you might be seeing some opportunities that you would normally never see in this desired area. You have to behave against the market in order to take advantage of this market. Right now nobody is buying, so the few buyers who are ready now might get great deals. Not every seller will be entertained, but you will see several sellers that are ready to offload real estate for a discount. Do not forget that South of Fifth is home to some of the most luxurious and most desired real estate that exists in Miami with condos such as Continuum, 321 ocean and Apogee.  Now is the time to make deals happen that would normally never happen.

Contact me today for more information!

David Siddons | 305.508.0899
Stefania Cambarau | 305.965.1232

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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