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The 2018 Brickell Luxury Condo Report
Brickell Luxury Condos for Sale | The 2018 Market Analysis
Click here to see all the other videos for our 2018 Miami Luxury Real Estate Report (Videos for Miami Beach, Coconut Grove/CoralGables and Pinecrest)
Softening of General Market has Influenced Luxury Condo Market
Confidence in the general Brickell market has taken a downturn with the oversupply of GENERAL market product, between $600k and $1m (so much new product from buildings like SLS, Bond, Brickell Heights, 1010, Rise and Reach), which has resulted in an unsurprising correction. Although the luxury market in Brickell is actually very small – only 100 units currently available for sale over $2m – the psychological well-being has been poisoned as sellers and buyers widely communicate that we are in troubled water. This has reached the ears of the luxury buyer and the effect has created a widespread softening.
On the upside; statistically speaking the ‘established’ luxury market is far better positioned than the general market (limited supply, low numbers of renters, primary owners) so long term it will fare better. We meet many buyers that would like to invest in Brickell, but they are hesitant to pull the trigger, because the general confidence is gone and there is little movement. With that said, there is not that much true luxury condo product in Brickell and if you can position yourself to buy a unit (particularly a penthouse) in one of the truly and legitimate established luxury buildings like Carbonell, Tequesta 2/3, Asia or Santa Maria with a unobstructed (never to be compromised) view of the water, you will watch as Brickell continues to grow around you in the future – this is a long term play.
What Happened in Brickell that Caused the OverSupply?
The peak in the general Brickell real estate market happened around August 2015. Condos were sold for very high prices per SqFt and pushed as luxury in the pre-construction market (I won’t name names on paper, but a phone call will allow me to tell you who these are!). Many of Brickell’s buyers bought what they were sold as ‘luxury product’. They needed to get the money out of their home countries for economic or socio-political reasons. The necessity to move their funds quickly resulted in a lack of scrutiny. Many of these buyers ended up with a new product that was not only less than luxury, but also populated mostly with tenants and investors, which pulled down the level of perceived quality even more.
In 2016 we experienced a market slow-down while many sellers were riding off the back of the 2015 preconstruction buying frenzy. They as yet had not modified their asking prices. In 2017 many of the new preconstruction condos hit the resell market and we started to see a massive oversupply. In the last two years an average of 1 luxury condo sold per month while today we see close to 100 luxury condos being listed. Under current market conditions it would take almost 8 years to absorb this inventory.
The Next Wave of (Hopefully) True Luxury Brickell Condos
Today we are waiting for the next wave of Brickell luxury condos to be released, which will be Brickell Flatiron, Una Residences and the Aston Martin Residences. They will need to be able to compete in and under the $1,000 per sqft market, in order to not lose buyers to other neighborhoods’ luxury product. In the last few years many buyers looking for true luxury in Brickell, ended up buying in the Grove. This will be the ultimate test to see what kind of NEW ultra-luxury product Brickell really has to offer AND whether we have enough demand to absorb it. If these products are true cutting-edge luxury condos with high-end features and finishes then it might not be affected by the over-supply of the current market. It will open up a new Brickell market, which many luxury buyers have been waiting for and a level of legitimate luxury, which has been for the most part absent from this busy neighborhood.
Socially the Brickell area has certainly changed a lot in the last two years, it now has more high-end ‘luxury’ oriented restaurants, shops and services built to cater to the luxury market. This it was lacking for a long period of time. I think the demand is present for luxury product and the rest of the pieces to the puzzle are in place we just need to see if they will deliver. We have been promised luxury before, but these products were lacking the truly high-end finishes such as deep balconies or high ceilings that product elsewhere provided. If the new condos can compete with products in the Grove and the Beach, I foresee there is a good number of buyers waiting in the wings.
FAQ
These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions
What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?
HOME BUYERS
Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/
CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/
What are the best areas for relocating families with children
For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/
Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?
New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand. Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects. However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/
Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?
Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/
What are Miami's Safest Areas?
Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)
If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.
The strongest value plays are:
- Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
- Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
- Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
- Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing
The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/
Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?
Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?
No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.
Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?
The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.
How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?
Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?
Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
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