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Miami Real Estate Market Report 2022/2023 (Part 4)
Part 4 of our Miami Real Estate Market Report 2022/2023 | Predictions and Actionable advice for sellers and buyers
Recap of our Miami Real Estate Market Report 2022 / 2023
So we have now covered data and analytics for the primary and secondary markets in part 1, we have discussed the Miami rental market in part 2 and in part 3 we saw the influences of the wider economic market on Miami real estate. Overall the market might feel like its softening, but it’s just slowing down in many cases to a more normal speed. Everything feels slow when you come down from 250mph. Although we don’t expect the market to go up by 30% as it did last year, it can very likely and is currently tracking against inflation. To conclude our Miami Real Estate report for 2022 and 2023, we give more granular advice to both buyers and sellers across our markets and answers depend on many things including price point, geography and product type.
Miami Real Estate Market Report 2022 – Advice for BUYERS
Home buyers – Recognize that in many single family sectors we still have very low inventory levels. Particularly in the $1-3m range recognize that even with all the negative macro-economic forces at play it is still a seller’s market and will remain so for quite some time unless something changes.
The upper mid-range ($5m+) and luxury Home buyers ($10m++). These sectors are softening a little. This does not mean a crash, it just means we should see more normal behavior and less crazy 10% over asking bidding wars.
High Net Worth Buyers
To the ultra-high net worth buyer. Recognize the inventory across this sector (see part 1), but bear in mind that stats within this market can be easily swayed as you are dealing with a very small dataset. Recognize that Miami is not a huge city and the migration of ultra-wealthy has made it very competitive, so be cognizant that ultra-prime properties such as direct waterfront homes in gated or island communities are firstly not widely available and secondly that you will not necessarily be the only buyer with pockets that deep! Off-market trades are not uncommon and to my wealthiest of clients its very much part of the business to bring bespoke off market opportunities to you, that will not be readily available on Zillow.
Buyers looking for a new(er) single family home. For those looking for a new home we are bringing out to our audience a book of new homes being built and finished over the next 6 month to 36 months! This is a compiled list of new homes not currently listed on the MLS. New homes are in very very short supply and due to supply chain issues will remain so.
Sales by DSG and Summary
Condo buyers – If you are focusing on a condo purchase make sure to avoid condos that have a very high percentage of rentals in the building, focus on building of a primary nature. Avoid generic product (we can provide examples of what is generic and what is not).
Luxury Condo buyers of existing and new construction. Get granular. Using our software like Condo geeks, which allows you to get to the specificity of your product. Use Zillow to search, use us for verification! Developers will not openly tell you what’s available elsewhere or how their product stacks up against the competition. We will!
Sales by DSG and Summary
Read our latest article about the best Miami luxury condos for sale
Miami Real Estate Market Report 2022 – Advice for SELLERS
LUXURY HOME SELLERS – Be aware of the impact of the stock market and how it affects perceived wealth. Also appreciate the current and future inventory levels across your market. Make sure to read the neighborhood reports.
MID-LEVEL HOME SELLERS Don’t overreach your values. Now is not the time to try to push the envelope. That’s a mistake. Be aware of what is coming into the market and understand how it works in relationship to what you own.
LAND SELLERS For those who are sellers of land – be aware of the supply chain issues and how that affects confidence. More importantly when bringing your land to market partner with an expert (like us) that can give confidence to buyers by providing execution solutions; the right GC, the right designer, the right architect!
MID AND LOW LEVEL CONDO SELLERS Get granular. Using our software like condo and home geeks allows you to get to the specificity of your product. Use Zillow to search, use us for verification!
If you own a somewhat generic product prepared that will get hammered sometime in the future. Call me and I can give you the list of mid-range generic condos!
Printscreens of our CondoGeeks tool showing you the performance of all Miami condos, Brickell condos in the $500K-$750K range and all of Bal Harbour’s condo market. The tool allows you to compare condos, compare neighborhood performance and to review a condo’s historic movement.
LUXURY CONDO SELLERS – Be aware of rising inventory. As shown and mentioned in Part 1 and part 2. If you own a condo in Brickell, Downtown, Edgewater and Sunny Isles prices can certainly go down if inventory continues to grow in the mid to high price ranges.
Also be aware of the competition coming from the new luxury construction condos across Miami – check out our article of the best 5 new construction condos and the best existing condos.
Projected inventory levels
Advice for INVESTORS
Avoid saturated rental markets. Single family rental market is in many cases better. They are more labor intensive but yield higher returns with less risk long term.
Don’t let the tail wag the dog! It is possibly not the best time to buy into certain condo markets if you are a short term investor (less than 3 years) as prices can and will likely come down. Short term returns may be attractive but if values come down your end result will be negative. Go back and study Part 1 of the report. You can also use the Condo Geeks tool or just call me!
Recognize the absolutely bonkers rental markets (see part 2) where returns are staggeringly good. Observe the primary home markets as they always have less inventory.
Advice for RENTERS
If you are renting at current rates, from a long term perspective it makes little sense. You are in many cases better off buying than renting.
If you are part of the mass migration families to South Florida and are a family renting a single family home, look to rent close to where you intend to buy. Also recognize the very high rental rates and perhaps compromise on the quality of home you might rent to avoid cash burn. Also try to implement a 6 month break clause in your lease so if you do find something you want to buy you can step into it quickly without suffering from the market continuing to go up or further cash burn on rent. Our territory managers are experts and live and work in the neighborhoods they sell.

FAQ
These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions
What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?
HOME BUYERS
Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/
CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/
What are the best areas for relocating families with children
For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/
Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?
New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand. Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects. However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/
Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?
Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/
What are Miami's Safest Areas?
Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)
If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.
The strongest value plays are:
- Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
- Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
- Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
- Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing
The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/
Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?
Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?
No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.
Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?
The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.
How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?
Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?
Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.
Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
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