The Miami Beach Condo Market Report 2019

The Miami Beach Condo Market Report 2019 – The Last 6 Months (April till October 2019)

Observations in the Miami Beach Condo Market of $500k – $2M

The Miami Beach Condo Market Report 2019
  • 657 Listings
  • 159 Sales*
  • 24 Months of inventory
The months of inventory (24 months) tells us that the Miami Beach condo market is stagnating. When we go more in-depth, we see that the buildings that are witnessing a higher number of closed sales are the ones that allow short term rentals such as The Carriage house, Roney Palace, Seacost, Blue and Green Diamond, Carillon and Decoplage
Miami Beach is still a very investor-driven market. These investors still look at the possibility to use their Miami Beach condo as a secondary residence while at the same time have the option to rent that out for a certain time of the year and cover some expenses (possibly even gaining some income).
With increasing maintenance fees and oftentimes heavy special assessments (levied by the condos in order to upkeep the structure and common areas), the relatively low return on investment is eaten up by the expenses. Miami Beach condo units are still attractive for partial end-users, but are no longer super attractive as pure investments, especially considering that short term rentals are no longer allowed as per the Miami Beach municipality.

The Rental Market

We are currently experiencing a high level of inventory in the rental market; almost 500 units for rent in Miami Beach between $3k and $8k.
However we expect this inventory to be absorbed faster during the next few months.
Renters are more and more demanding when it comes to finishes and condos with old outdated finishes are much harder to rent.
Regarding price levels we saw that:
  • Only 10% sold over $1,000 per SF
  • Over 50% of the closed sales are between $500 and $900 per SF
  • 40% of the closed sales happened below the $500 per SF marker
  • The highest price per SF achieved was an exceptional $1,678 at W hotel, which can also be rented short term
The higher-end condos are seeing significant price reductions and sales prices much lower than original asking prices  (ranging between 15% and 22%).
The average difference between sale price and original listing price is still below 10%, which represents a relatively healthy gap.
* The sales data shown in the description is taken over a slightly different time frame than the sales data in the table, therefore discrepancies between data might occur

Working Examples

The first two examples are sales in buildings that do not allow for short term rentals, while the last 2 examples do allow for monthly rentals

This well-finished unit at MEi Miami Beach was sold by the David Siddons Group (Stefania Cambarau). The 2 bedroom  unit that offers direct ocean views  sold for $1,1M or $832 per SF.
Unit 2201 at La Gorce Palace sold for $825 per SF or $1,393,500. This 3 bedroom condo unit was very well finished and offered direct ocean views
This Southeast facing studio can be placed in Hotel Program of the W hotel in South Beach and rented when you’re not in Miami.  The unit sold for $950,000 or $1,687 per SF
This upgraded unit at Roney Palace/1 Hotel combines units 1414 & 1415. The 2 bedroom offers a flexible rental program and sold for $1,875,000 or $1,143 per SF 

Observations in the Miami Beach Condo Market of $2M – $5M

The Miami Beach Condo Market Report 2019

This table is created over a slightly different time frame than the data collection below, therefore discrepancies between data might occur

  • 113 Listings
  • 16 Sales*
  • 43 Months of inventory
 
More than half the current listings have been on the market for over 1 year. About 25% have been on the market for over 2 years and many have been listed for 2 to 3 years. This means that the market is definitely back end heavy; i.e units are sitting a long time on the market.
When we look at the listing price of those units that simply don’t move we see the reason why it doesn’t move. Owners are asking prices per SF of $2,000+, in a market where nothing sold over $2,000 per SF. In this market $1,700 per SF is achieved for a very well finished product with direct ocean views. With other words, in order to move product, sellers need to become more realistic. We expect that to happen more frequently during this upcoming high season. Prices will drop even more in the high-end condos on the beach.
We see 16 closed sales in the whole of Miami Beach, which is relatively low if you look at the small area of South of fifth which sold that amount of condos as well.  The market is clearly stagnating and surprisingly the price per SF is quite low.
Only one exception with a sale of $2k+per SF and many sales below $1,500 per SF
Units are sold on average 13% below the original asking price. We expect this gap to be higher in 2020, as some product will be staying on the market for a long period of time and prices need to be adjusted.

The Rental Market

The ratio of 20 signed leases  (between $8k and $40K)- vs 16 sales in the last 6 months clearly shows that the condo market in Miami Beach is still dominated by investors renting out their units
 
* The sales data shown in the description is taken over a slightly different time frame than the sales data in the table, therefore discrepancies between data might occur

Working Example

4 Of the 16 sales happened at  Il Villagio on 1455 Ocean Dr.

The sale prices were on average around $1,500 per SF for 3 bedroom units with ocean views, while its 2018 sale prices were above $2,000 per SF.  Unit #1509 (shown here) sold for $3,550,000 or $1,578 per SF

Observations in the Miami Beach Condo Market of $5M+

The Miami Beach Condo Market Report 2019

This table is created over a slightly different time frame than the data collection below, therefore discrepancies between data might occur

  • 28 Active listings
  • 1 Closed sale*
  • 175 Months of inventory (this means 4 years to sell the current inventory, shall nothing else hit the market) 
It is clear that the market must see tremendous reduction in order to move forward. The market is simply paralyzed! The previous 6 months (high-season months) had seen 6 closed sales instead.
The 2 most expensive sales in the last year are the two new construction penthouse units at One Hotel and Homes and the Ritz Carlton residences,  sold respectively for $5.7 Mil and $5.6Mil.
Among the units currently for sale one third is listed over $10 Mil. The meat of inventory here is made of new construction units never lived in before. We expect buyers for this type of massive units to show up and pull the trigger in the first 6 months of 2020. We will witness quite a few discounted deals in the months to come.
* The sales data shown in the description is taken over a slightly different time frame than the sales data in the table, therefore discrepancies between data might occur

Working Example

PH 1612 at 1 Hotel and Homes , a 3 bedroom, 2,548 SF unit sold for$5,600,000 or $1,459 per SF after being listed for 262 days. The unit’s original listing price was $5,795,000

Please Contact the David Siddons Group for more information about the Miami Beach Condo Market

David Siddons | 305.508.0899 | [email protected]
Stefania Cambarau | 305.965.1232 | [email protected]

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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