Its not a housing bubble – its just expensive!

Miami Real Estate | A perspective on the Miami house market.

Despite record home prices in Miami home markets such as: Coconut Grove, Coral Gables, Pinecrest and Miami Beach, the market is nowhere near as bad as it was a decade ago.

Miami Beach DSG

To quote the July 18th Article in Bloomberg:

“Home prices have hit record highs in some major U.S. metropolitan areas, and house-flippers are behaving like it’s 2005: It’s no wonder people are chattering about another housing bubble.

But residential real estate isn’t in a speculative bubble, industry observers contend. Instead, a low inventory of available homes is driving prices higher—prices, however, will eventually recede as buyers throw up their hands, or as more new homes come on line. The structural issues that led to the housing collapse last decade aren’t present.

“The havoc during the last cycle was the result of building too many homes and of speculation fueled by loose credit,” said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist at “That’s the exact opposite of what we have today.”

The Miami Real Estate Market is not even near a bubble

This struck me as interesting because back in 2008 when the bubble burst, it was Miami that was the poster child for the economic collapse. Miami was even mentioned and featured in a number of films highlighting the collapse (The Big Short). I read this article with great interest and as I scanned the article for a mention of Miami in the list of Top ten cities in the US with the highest ‘bubble rating’….Spoiler alert. We did not even get a mention!

Click on image to enlarge

Its not a housing bubble - its just expensive!

At the David Siddons Group we spend so much time studying almost all single family neighborhood and talking to home buyers and sellers to get a feel of where their heads at. Although we have certainly seen a softening on some price fronts (check out our soon to be released 2016 Miami real estate report). We are seeing far more of a stabilizing market than a decreasing market.

So should home owners fear that the value of their homes will collapse or that home buyers should be patiently waiting on the side lines to see prices half before they rush in a vulture a deal? Fortunately or unfortunately (depending on your opinion) you wont see the ‘single family markets’ collapsing, but you will see some sectors correcting down, back to a more balanced level.

Why would it not collapse? In short, because so much has been bought with cash and many people still want to move and live within Miami.

Advice to home buyers and sellers.

We have seen a lot of renovations within Miami in the last few years and buyers are paying top dollar for brand new and well renovated homes. There is a still shortage of these, so if you want one you will have to pay a top level market price (but do not go over our recommended ceiling).

Older homes that need renovations? We have seen some sellers still aiming to achieve a high market price.

My advice to buyers: if you see these homes asking high $ per sqft number (For example $450+ in Coral Gables or Coconut Grove), walk away!  You will see these prices come down as sellers wake up to the reality that the market is not going to continue up by 10-15% as it has in recent years. My My advice to sellers: adjust your expectations and be realistic. Otherwise spend some money improving your home, do some light improvements in order to compete against the more polished properties.

Read our other blogs related to this:

For more specific information on your market please contact the David Siddons Group. I know the Miami real estate market and its numbers like nobody else. Ill be able to give you a good insight into whether you would profit from holding on to your property or selling it


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David Siddons
Akbota YerseitAkbota Yerseit
13:29 03 Jun 22
Excellent leaders!
Cathryne HaladnerCathryne Haladner
12:12 18 Sep 21
We have only superlatives to describe how wonderful Cris Buzolin was throughout the process of selling our townhouse in Coral Gables. We were away in the UK while the transaction was taking place and Cris handled everything-from clearing out our house, selling contents when she could, arranging the moving and storage and dealing with some very difficult problems which arose. Always patient and very willing to help in every way, Cris is a consummate professional who really cares about her clients and worked extremely hard to get the price we had asked for and make things for us as easy as she could. Nothing was too much for her to handle.Cris and Marianela (who provided additional very helpful assistance to us during the transaction) are part of the team that David Siddons has assembled.When we decided to sell our property, we contacted David and he established the framework for the transaction and ensured that everything proceeded smoothly and in accordance with our wishes. In sum, David Siddons and his team are extremely competent and professional and we are totally satisfied with the service they provided. To repeat, Cris Buzolin in particular, went way beyond what one would expect from a real estate agent. The David Siddons Group has our highest recommendation!
Jose Eduardo FilhoJose Eduardo Filho
17:17 13 Jul 21
I thank the whole team and especially Cris Buzolin who, in a very professional and competent way, helped me to sell my property safely and in the best market condition.
Idan Singh (Idan)Idan Singh (Idan)
19:53 07 Jun 21
Great Service for British Expats looking to move to the States.
Simone GarrettSimone Garrett
17:20 26 Feb 21
Fantastic group of people to work with!! David and Adriana were responsive and professional throughout the entire process. We weren't familiar with South Florida so David took us under his wing and did a fabulous job giving us a tour of select neighborhoods in South Florida and shared a great deal of information about each. We fell in love with the Botaniko community in Weston and closed the deal with Adriana. If you are buying/selling this is the team you want to work with!! Thank you guys for helping us find our dream home.