The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update

How did Pinecrest homes perform in 2017 and what to expect from 2018?

We would like to update you on the status of the Pinecrest home market. As always we will discuss the past year and we will look at 2018 to see what the Pinecrest real estate market will bring. With so many different reports about the Miami market, it is often hard to get the information that is really useful for you. This report focusses only on the Pinecrest market and divides the market into 6 different price ranges.

The Price Ranges in the Pinecrest Real Estate Market

The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update

In the table above we provide you with the sales prices per SF for Pinecrest homes in 2017 and we compare these prices with previous years. As can be seen from the data, prices have consistently gone up across the different price ranges, although the luxury market has seen some price corrections since 2016. In the last few years Pinecrest gained in popularity because of its excellent schools and real estate options while asking for more affordable prices than other desired Miami neighborhoods. This surge in demand resulted in rapid price increases. Many buyers looked for older homes to remodel or to rebuild from scratch, which generated the enormous price increases at the lower-end of the market. Many developers and “home flippers” built brand new luxury homes resulting in an increased supply of high-end multi-million Dollar homes. With a massive supply of luxury homes, inflated prices and less demand we see that prices in the higher-end of the market are taking a hit.

The two graphs below show you the months of inventory, one of the most important indicators in real estate. Months of inventory show you the supply and demand relationship which is key in predicting future price changes. As you can see from the tables, the market up till $2M is between a sellers and a neutral / balanced market, while the homes in the $2M+ price range are experiencing a buyers market. Given the high amount of months of inventory we expect the luxury market ($2M+) to see some more price corrections in order to absorb the supply.  The market below the $2M range seems to show healthy numbers of inventory leading us to believe prices will remain stable or grow slightly.

What does sellers or buyers market mean?

  • A sellers market (With 6 or less months of inventory – and 12 or less months in the Luxury $1M+ market) means that there is more demand than supply, mostly leading to an increase in prices and providing sellers with an advantage
  • A buyers market (With 9 or more months of inventory – and 18 or more months in the Luxury $1M+ market) means that there is more supply than demand. Prices are likely to decrease in order to absorb the supply.
  • A neutral market provides for a perfect balance in which neither party has an advantage and prices are likely to remain stable
The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update
The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update

Buying a Pinecrest home in 2018

We are bullish regarding the Pinecrest market, but in every market you need to pay the right price. In the luxury end of the market, sellers will soon understand that their properties will be sitting too long on the market if they won’t adjust their prices. The table below provides you with an overview of the lowest prices per SF, the average and the highest prices per SF in 2017. This table provides you with an insight as to what you should be offering for a Pinecrest home for sale. For example a fixer upper for $1,3M that is priced at $350 per SF will not be a good deal. As you can see that is the average price in the market while the lower-end (the fixer-uppers) is selling at approximately $250 per SF.  If the listing is asking $550 per SF you should only go ahead if it is well finished or a much better home than any other one on the market. With other words; only pay top dollar if the property justifies that price.

The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update

When looking to make an offer one should know the below data. These are differences in percentage between the original asking price and the sales price. You can see that in 2014, the year in which prices increased the most, there was only 6% of negotiability in the different markets, today that is 12%! With other words a property listed for $1,5M might sell for $1,3M.

The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update

Trends in Pinecrest 

The table below shows the price range distribution over the years. While 2012 saw 17% of homes being sold below $500K, today that is less than 1%. On the other hand the $1M+ market increased from 30% to 54% of total sales.

Pinecrest is seeing a considerable amount of homes being renovated, as most buyers appreciate new construction homes. This trend gave a boast to the sales of dated, less maintained homes, Investors as well as many end-users are remodeling and “flipping” these homes with a good return on investment. As this trend has been happening since a few years, the luxury market has experienced a large increase in supply and asking prices. As mentioned before we are now experiencing an oversupply of luxury homes. In the first month of 2018 we saw the same number of closed transactions for houses below $1M as for houses in the $1- $2M range with another drop in prices.
 
Another new trend in the area are the small communities with modern design such as Veridian Grove. We see more and more buyers who appreciate new constructions and gated communities.
 
A proof that the area is growing is the opening of the new Whole Foods on 104th close to Target, with a huge store that stands out from all other stores. The old Target location will be taken by Millans in the summer of 2018, which is being very well accepted as the supermarket is a family owned business since 1984 with a lot of loyal customers in the Coconut Grove area.
The 2018 Pinecrest Real Estate Market Update

Advice for Buyers of Pinecrest Homes in 2018

As mentioned before we are bullish on the Pinecrest market. Especially in the market below $2M we see that prices are increasing and inventory levels are healthy. Try to use our upper, mid and lower price range suggestions in order to avoid overpaying. Those who are looking to flip homes should avoid building a $2M+ home as this market is very oversupplied and properties stay on the market for a long period of time while prices are decreasing.

Advice for Sellers of Pinecrest Homes in 2018

With very limited amount of months of inventory in the market below $1M, these properties are experiencing a sellers market. This is a good moment to sell and to get top dollar. For those selling in the luxury market we want to point out that prices are decreasing and inventory is high. Prices are likely to correct a little bit more as the inventory needs to be absorbed. If you want to sell, we suggest you follow the market prices and don’t try to get a price that is not in accordance with today’s market values. As mentioned before, prices are more likely to drop a little bit more, so you better start beating the competition soon!

David Siddons is a top producing Miami real estate agent with over $65M in yearly sales. He is known for his many Miami real estate market reports and weekly market analysis. David monitors the Miami markets closely to look for trends and to provide the best possible advice to sellers and buyers. 

Cristiane Buzolin is the Pinecrest expert within the David Siddons Group and author of this report. Cristiane is a very active realtor in the area and can be reached for all Pinecrest related questions and deals.

Contact David or Cristiane today

Cristiane Buzolin | +1.305.775.1198 | [email protected]
David Siddons | +1.305.508.0899 | [email protected]

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

WHY WORK WITH DAVID? THINGS YOU SHOULD KNOW...

For all our analytics we are agents driving some very unique and advanced tech. We Provide a granular and custom experience that empower our clients with the insight and tools to understand the most complex behaviors of any local markets.

  • Analytical

    Over 100 reports produced to date

  • Knowledgeable

    Over 1800 published articles and counting

  • Experienced

    Over $2 billion in real estate sales

    Reviews
David Siddons
blog

Related Articles