South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018

The South of Fifth Condo Market in 2017 and Our Expectations for 2018!

The David Siddons Group is a top performing team of realtors known for their independent and transparent market analysis and real estate reports. Our analysis are highly regarded by industry peers, readers and clients and we strive to give buyers and sellers our best possible market insights

The South of Fifth condo market is very unique. The luxurious condos sell the Miami Beach lifestyle and the area has always been in great demand because of its location and superb views. However, most of the South of Fifth condos have experienced price corrections in the last few years. Reason enough for the David Siddons Group to examine the 2017 market and to look forward to 2018.

Prices and Price Changes in the South of Fifth Condo Market

South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018
South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018

In the table and graph above we provide you with the sales prices per SF for South of Fifth condos in 2017 and we compare these prices with previous years. We added a graph with trend lines, which provide you with a better insight into the direction of the market. As can be seen from the trendlines, prices in some of the submarkets are stagnating, with the $3M to $5M range even seeing a downward price trend. After a few years of extreme high prices the market is now seeing price corrections in order to stabilize the market.

South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018

Because the South of Fifth market offers a wide variety of condos we also highlighted the most desired condos for you to show their performance over time. As can be seen from this table almost all of South of Fifth top condos are seeing price corrections. They showed great prosperity till 2015, but the prices started to stabilize from 2016 onwards.

The graph and the table below indicate the months of inventory and this might be the most important indicator in the real estate industry.  Months of inventory show you the supply and demand relationship, which is key in predicting future price changes. As you can see from the tables, the South of Fifth Condos market is seeing high numbers of inventory. With the current rate of absorption it will take up to 4+ years for the higher-end of the market to be absorbed. Of course this might go faster or slower depending on the overall economy or sudden changes in demand.  However based on today’s circumstances we are looking at 4+ years for the $3M+ market to be absorbed and between 1,5 and 3 years for the rest of the market to be absorbed.

What does sellers or buyers market mean?

  • A sellers market (With 6 or less months of inventory – and 12 or less months in the Luxury $1M+ market) means that there is more demand than supply, mostly leading to an increase in prices and providing sellers with an advantage.
  • A buyers market (With 9 or more months of inventory – and 18 or less months in the Luxury $1M+ market) means that there is more supply than demand. Prices are likely to decrease in order to absorb the supply.
  • A neutral market provides for a perfect balance in which neither party has an advantage and prices are likely to remain stable
South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018

The South of Fifth Condo Market in 2018

With high inventory and with more price-conscious buyers than in previous years, prices will need to come down. Our agents are noticing a decline in the amount of showings and buyers think the current market is overpriced, therefore more hesitant in making a final decision. Sellers need to be at market value if they want to sell and buyers need to be careful not to overpay. We see many luxury products on the Beach sell for 25% less then their asking prices (one of the tables below shows the average discrepancy between listing and sales prices per price range). Many sellers piggyback on the success of surrounding condos or the name of the area and ask for prices that are not in line with the unit they offer. When buying a South of Fifth condo please look at the value of the unit and not the value of the overall market. The table below this paragraph shows you the lowest, average and highest prices per SF paid in 2017. This is a good starting point to know whether a property is overpriced or not. The South of Fifth market has seen a large influx of brand new luxury condos. Many of them are low-rise boutique condos on a dry lot asking the same price per SF as the established waterfront condos. These condos were established in the height of the market and will most likely see a decline in value.

South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018
South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018

The table below shows you the difference between the original listings prices and the sales prices. Overpriced units tend to be longer on the market and show a much higher discrepancy between sales and listing prices. This means that in the end, those units only sell when prices are adjusted to market levels.

South of Fifth Condo News and Market Trends 2018

Tips for Buyers of South of Fifth Condos in 2018

Be careful with the non-waterfront or non-waterfacing units. I would advise the buyers to stay within the indicated price ranges and to focus on units with ocean views and unique features. The market will still allow for price corrections and therefore one should be careful not to overpay for a certain unit. Also look at the value of individual units and not at the value of the entire market. Many non-waterfacing units are priced the same as water-facing units, stay away from these overpriced units without waterviews! When looking to make offers (in some cases) you should not consider the asking price and just make your offer. The difference between the asking and the sales price is often as high as 10%.

Tips for Sellers of South of Fifth Condos in 2018

Sellers should be aware that today’s market is not allowing anymore for extreme price points. Of course every unit is different, but buyers are more price conscious, prices are declining and inventory is high. This means the market prices have room to decline even more and by “fishing the market” you will loose momentum. If you decided to sell, our advice is to price your unit right and do not wait another year hoping for a better market, because prices will most likely correct a bit more.

Are you looking to buy or sell in South of Fifth please contact an established agent. The David Siddons Group is a team of top performing Miami Beach realtors with over $65M in yearly sales. David Siddons is known for his market analytics, groundbreaking Miami real estate reports and out-of-the-box marketing. We have an expert agent living and working in the South of Fifth area and a marketing network reaching the entire globe. The David Siddons Group has broken several records in the last 12 months within the SOFI area because of out of the box marketing and excellent feel of the market

Contact David Siddons today 

+1.305.508.0899 | [email protected]

Contact Stefania Cambarau today

+1.305.965.1232 | [email protected]

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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