The Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018

Coral Gables Luxury Homes for Sale | The 2018 Market Analysis

Click here to see all the other videos for our 2018 Miami Luxury Real Estate Report (Videos for Miami Beach, Brickell and Pinecrest)

A Stable, even Bullish Coral Gables Luxury Market

Despite a volatile Miami real estate market with rapid price increases followed by price corrections, the Coral Gables market has been quite stable. We did not experience inflated prices in the Gables, which has resulted in zero to none price corrections in recent years. As can be seen from the average prices per SF, we are seeing a steady, yet increasing line. Luxury properties tend to appreciate less fast than properties in lower price ranges. The lowest prices per SF seem to be following the lead of the average prices per SF. We see an increase over the years, but it is not a steep line. The highest prices paid are very volatile, as one sale of a property located on the open bay can lift the average sales price considerably from one year to the other. In a market with increasingly price conscious buyers, we see that the Gables luxury market is still showing signs of a bullish market.

Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018  Coral Gables Luxury Homes for Sale
Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018

Decreasing and Stable Amount if Inventory

Arguably more important than the prices per SF are the months of inventory. The months of inventory show the supply/demand relationship of a market, which is the best prediction for the future. In the luxury marker 12 to 18 months of inventory is a balanced market, while less than 12 months is a sellers market in which we see more demand than supply.

The months of inventory for Coral Gables provide for a rather bullish outlook. In the last months we have seen a decreasing inventory with an average of 40 months in the first 6 months of 2018. This is not a sellers market, but also not a very high number of inventory in the ultra-luxury market. Comparing to other luxury home markets in Miami, the Gables shows one of the lowest numbers, lower than Pinecrest, the Beach and Key Biscayne, yet higher than Coconut Grove.

Looking at historical data for the Gables we see that in times of the last recession the Gables was seeing levels of inventory above 100 months. In the last 5 years the inventory has remained quite stable.

Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018  Coral Gables Luxury Homes for Sale
Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018

Waterfront Properties in Coral Gables

Within the price range of $3M+ we see that most of the sales in the Gables are located on a waterfront lot. In the previous chart we depict the difference between luxury home prices on a dry lot vs those homes on a waterfront lot. Waterfront homes sell for around $200 to $300 per SF more than dry lot homes. The type of waterfront the property is located on also influences the price, see chart.

Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018
Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market Report 2018

Buying Land in Coral Gables

Many buyers prefer to build their own dream home and are looking for a lot in Coral Gables. In 2017 and the first quarter of 2018 we saw lots being sold between $36 per SF up till $150 per SF. This translates into prices from $900K to $7,5M. Waterfront lots with ocean access sold on average for $139 per SF, while a lot in the lakefront and gated community of Hammock Lakes sold for $98 per SF. Non waterfront lots sold on average for $61 per SF. Those who are looking to build east of the US1 are looking at lots that sell on average for $106 per SF, while west of the US1 we see lots being sold for $69 per SF. The David Siddons Group offers many blogs on building your own property. Being married to an architect and interior designer, I have undergone numerous remodeling and extension projects while I have guided numerous of my buyers in the process of home building (many of them intended to be an end-user, but ended up not being able to resist the offers). As I acquired an eye for the process and for the different ranges of finishes, I am better equipped than any agent to guide you into the construction or remodeling process. I have learned about the pitfalls, the city’s regulations and of course I know a thing or two about what buyers are looking for.

Advice for Buyers of Coral Gables Luxury Homes

With a soft luxury Market, Coral Gables buyers should be conscious of ensuring they pay ‘true value’ and not get caught up in artificial value or ‘wow’ elements we sometimes see in luxury properties that on the surface give the impression of luxury (Reference the ‘McDonalds Effect’ I mention in the Grove / Gables video). The luxury market is rather more tricky to value out because the ‘perceived’ quality of luxury across high-end homes can vary enormously and is often very subjective. It is also very hard to clearly quantify when running CMA’s (Comparative market analysis reports). With this in mind it is important to recognize quality materials used (For example the use of 12 ft doors compared to 10ft doors or high quality flooring as opposed to budget material) which can have a dramatic effect on the end result and end value. Coral Gables like many neighborhoods has seen a significant number of newly constructed properties in 2017/2018 – some have been done well, some not so well. In the luxury market it is often harder to find appropriate comparable homes, so use an agent who has experience. How much room is there to negotiate? Between the original listing price and the sales price we see a 14% gap while the final listing price and the sales price shows a 9% discrepancy. For a $3M home, that is a $300K difference. If you are buying with the greatest appreciation in mind then the bottom $ per sqft end of the luxury market is showing solid and steady growth over the last 5 years. In laymen terms, this is essentially homes with big sqft’ages and these often sit on generous sized lots, which may be primed for renovation or updates (Reference my own personal journey through a Coral Gables Renovation). Alternatively, ‘investor’ sensitive buyers may look to buy land on ‘dry lots’ (we can see land values have risen substantially from 2012 to 2018, as much as 50%). Waterfront land has not increased at the same rate, which may be due to the fact that it was already considered high value and had hit the ‘value’ ceiling.

Advice for Sellers of Coral Gables Luxury Homes

With a very robust amount of inventory, sellers of Coral Gables luxury properties must be a little bearish. In order to sell, one must honor true market prices and not try to add subjective value created from any ‘one off’ personal opinions or needs. There are buyers, but today’s buyers are more educated and less eager to pull the trigger. Unless added value can be truly quantified, it won’t translate – this is especially true when dealing with classical style homes with ornate architecture, which may now be considered dated. So price your property well the first time around. Another challenge we often see is that sellers will compare their house to another home in the surrounding block which has sold at a higher than average price and give value by association, although that home may be renovated or even new. If the question is to sell now or sell next year? It is worth appreciating (as per the previous table) that the luxury market tends to oscillate in the highest $ per sqft level but remain stable in the mid range, and even though inventory seems to be heading in the right direction, we don’t anticipate that it will bring us into a ‘sellers market’ yet nor even in 2019. Conclusion: you are not likely to be better off by waiting until next year to sell rather than selling now.

Contact David Siddons to know more about the Coral Gables Luxury Real Estate Market. Whether you want to sell or to buy a luxury home in Miami we can help you with insights and an excellent (digital) marketing strategy

David Siddons | +1.305.508.0899 | [email protected]

David Siddons is a top producing Miami realtor with nearly $100M in yearly sales. He is known as a market analyst and he is the author of many of Miami’s most groundbreaking real estate reports.

FAQ

These are the most commonly Miami Real Estate Related questions

What should relocation buyers know before buying real estate in Miami?

HOME BUYERS

Relocation buyers looking at homes in Miami should understand that choosing the right house is less about the property itself and more about location, schools, and long-term value. Many buyers make the mistake of focusing on price or finishes, while the real driver of value is the neighborhood and micro-location. Older homes often represent better value, but may also be part of a future redevelopment cycle. Newer homes command premiums, but don’t always sell faster if pricing is ahead of the market. Commute time, school access, and community dynamics are critical and often underestimated. The key is to evaluate homes not just as lifestyle purchases, but as long-term assets within a very localized market.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/relocating-to-miami-with-a-family/

CONDO BUYERS:
Relocation buyers should understand that Miami is a highly segmented, building-driven market, not a uniform one. Pricing can vary significantly between similar properties depending on building quality, layout, and financial health. Many buyers assume newer construction equals better investment, but that is often not the case. Factors like HOA fees, reserves, and rental policies can materially impact long-term value and liquidity. Negotiation opportunities often exist, especially in slower segments, but require precise market knowledge. The key is to evaluate micro-markets and individual buildings, not just neighborhoods or price per square foot.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/new-construction-miami-guide/

What are the best areas for relocating families with children

For families relocating to Miami with young children, the most recommended neighborhoods are Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, and Pinecrest. Coral Gables offers the best balance of top schools, safety, and long-term value. Coconut Grove is ideal for younger families seeking walkability, greenery, and a lifestyle-driven environment. Pinecrest provides larger homes, excellent schools, and better value for space, making it ideal for growing families. The key driver across all three is access to strong schools and primary residential stability. Relocation decisions are less about new construction and more about long-term livability and resale strength.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/what-are-the-best-family-neighborhoods-in-miami-in-2023/

Are new construction condos in Miami a good investment?

New construction condos in Miami can be a good investment—but only if you understand that not all buildings perform the same. According to the David Siddons Group, many buyers assume “new = better,” but in reality, performance depends on pricing, layout, building quality, and long-term demand.  Some new developments set future price benchmarks and can drive long-term appreciation, especially in top-tier projects.  However, many are priced aggressively at launch, and buyers relying on marketing instead of data often overpay.
The market is highly segmented, meaning two new buildings next to each other can perform very differently.
The best opportunities typically come from selecting the right building early or negotiating correctly in later phases.
In short: new construction is not automatically a good investment—it becomes one only with building-level analysis and disciplined entry pricing.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/beyond-clickbait-real-insights-into-miamis-luxury-condo-market/

Why is buying a Miami condo riskier than buyers think?

Buying a Miami condo is often riskier than buyers expect because the true risks are at the building level—not visible in the listing price. Many buyers focus on finishes and views, while overlooking HOA reserves, insurance exposure, and potential special assessments. In reality, two identical units in different buildings can perform completely differently over time. Rising HOA fees and stricter regulations are also increasing the true cost of ownership, especially in older buildings. Liquidity can be affected by factors like financial health, rental policies, and ongoing repairs. The key risk is not the condo itself—but buying into the wrong building without proper due diligence.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-condo-market-risks/

What are Miami's Safest Areas?

The safest areas in Miami are typically Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Key Biscayne, and Ponce-Davis. These neighborhoods stand out due to low density, strong community presence, and high concentration of full-time residents, which directly impacts safety. In Miami, safety is highly localized, meaning micro-location and specific streets matter more than zip codes. Areas with top schools and family-driven demand tend to maintain stronger safety profiles over time. Gated communities and low-traffic residential streets further enhance security. Ultimately, the safest areas are defined less by price and more by stability, schools, and residential character.

Which Miami Areas Still offer Great Value (Budget Friendly alternatives to Coral Gables and Pinecrest)

If you’re looking for better value than Coral Gables or Pinecrest, the answer (in true Siddons style) is not “go cheaper”—it’s go one layer outside the obvious markets.

The strongest value plays are:

  • Schenley Park → closest substitute to Coral Gables at ~20% discount while maintaining similar character and location
  • Biltmore Heights → almost identical feel to the Gables but ~25–30% cheaper on a $/SF basis
  • Glenvar Heights → central location with larger lots and ~25% pricing advantage vs South Miami/Gables
  • Baptist / Galloway (Kendall) → Pinecrest-style living (space, schools, land) at up to ~30% lower pricing

The pattern is consistent:
👉 Buyers are shifting west and slightly off-market to gain land, scale, and pricing efficiency. You don’t find value by going to a “cheaper neighborhood”—you find it by identifying adjacent micro-markets that offer the same lifestyle fundamentals without the brand premium.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-value-neighborhoods-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/miami-neighborhoods/

Is NOW a good time to buy in Miami?

In 2026, the answer is yes—but only if you understand what part of the market you’re buying into. Miami is no longer one market; it has split into multiple segments behaving very differently. From a David Siddons perspective, this is a selective buyer’s window, not a broad “good time” headline. Some segments—especially condos with rising inventory—are offering negotiation opportunities and better entry points. 

At the same time, prime single-family homes and top-tier new construction continue to hold value or even trade near record levels.

Buyers who rely on timing the market often miss the point—success in Miami today comes from selecting the right micro-market and asset, not waiting for a crash.  If you are disciplined on pricing, building quality, and location, this market offers opportunity. If you are not, it is easy to overpay. 2026 is a good time to buy in Miami for informed buyers—because the market is fragmented, negotiation exists, and strategy matters more than ever.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/miami-real-estate-market-report-q1-2026/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/market-reports/

Are Miami real estate prices going down in 2026?

No—but that’s the wrong way to look at it. Miami is not one market anymore, so prices are not moving in one direction. In 2026, the market is split into two: ultra-luxury, scarcity-driven areas (like waterfront and top-tier neighborhoods) are still holding or even rising, while mid-tier condos and oversupplied segments are flat or correcting. What we’re seeing is price divergence, not a crash—some properties are gaining value while others are quietly adjusting downward. Rising inventory and more selective buyers are putting pressure on pricing in certain segments, especially older condos or buildings with weaker fundamentals.
At the same time, global wealth and cash buyers continue to support pricing at the top end of the market. So the real answer: prices aren’t broadly dropping—they’re being repriced based on quality, location, and supply.

Miami Real Estate Market Report Q1 2026

Should I buy a house or a condo when relocating to Miami?

The decision comes down to lifestyle first, investment second—and most relocation buyers get that backwards. If you want space, privacy, schools, and long-term family living, a single-family home in areas like Coral Gables or Coconut Grove is typically the stronger choice. If you prioritize walkability, low maintenance, and proximity to business districts, a condo in Brickell or waterfront markets makes more sense.
From an investment perspective, homes tend to be more stable, while condos are more building-dependent and cyclical. Most relocation clients underestimate how much building quality, HOA structure, and future costs impact condo performance. The right answer isn’t “house vs condo”—it’s which asset fits your lifestyle AND holds value within its micro-market.

 

 How do I choose the right Miami neighborhood for my lifestyle?

Choosing the right neighborhood in Miami comes down to how you live day-to-day, not just where prices are. Relocation buyers should first define priorities: walkability, schools, commute, or waterfront lifestyle.
For example, Coconut Grove fits walkable, family-oriented living, while Brickell suits urban, high-rise lifestyles. Buyers often make the mistake of focusing on price per square foot instead of lifestyle fit and long-term livability. Each neighborhood operates like its own micro-market, so the “best” area depends on your daily routine and long-term goals. The key is to align lifestyle, location, and market fundamentals, not just aesthetics or newness.


https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/best-neighborhoods-miami/

Why are Miami condo prices so different between buildings?

Miami condo pricing varies widely because value is determined at the building level, not just by location. Two buildings next to each other can have major differences in financial health, reserves, HOA fees, and management quality. Buyers also pay premiums for better layouts, views, amenities, and newer construction—but not all “new” buildings perform equally. Factors like rental policies, upcoming assessments, and building reputation can significantly impact resale value. This is why price per square foot alone is misleading in Miami’s condo market. The real driver of value is how that specific building competes within its micro-market over time.

Sources:
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/how-to-buy-a-luxury-condo-in-miami/
https://luxlifemiamiblog.com/category/independent-new-construction-condo-reviews/

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